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Red22
365818.5
400330.1
553013.8
Blue6
353614.8
6623.1
357219.9
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38480100150200226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.11.6
18.216.6
Auto7.4
Teleop22.6
End0.0
red by 6.9
66
#11
23.13.0
17.714.7
Auto0.4
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Second
3658
#17
18.51.6
14.312.7
Auto0.5
Teleop17.9
End0.0
blue by 1.5
3572
#23
19.93.0
20.117.1
Auto0.9
Teleop19.0
End0.0
Third
5530
#18
13.814.8
21.86.9
Auto0.5
Teleop13.3
End0.0
blue by 1.1
3536
#31
14.83.0
10.37.3
Auto0.9
Teleop14.0
End0.0