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Red92
365818.5
436231.6
54368.2
Blue62
332224.3
570414.8
400428.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334302060801001201401609262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.64.7
20.325.0
Auto0.6
Teleop31.0
End0.0
red by 3.2
28.41.6
15.316.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop28.9
End0.0
Second
3658
#17
18.54.7
11.916.6
Auto0.5
Teleop17.9
End0.0
blue by 5.9
3322
#20
24.31.6
16.217.8
Auto0.7
Teleop23.6
End0.0
Third
5436
#36
8.24.7
3.48.1
Auto0.0
Teleop8.2
End0.0
blue by 6.6
5704
#21
14.81.6
11.212.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.8
End0.0