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Red112
511426.7
335721.7
438437.2
Blue72
49426.9
570414.8
432526.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5648020408010012014011272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.24.3
25.429.7
Auto1.1
Teleop36.1
End0.0
red by 10.3
494
#10
26.91.7
21.523.2
Auto0.1
Teleop26.8
End0.0
Second
26.74.6
17.522.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.8
End0.0
red by 0.5
26.21.6
17.318.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.3
End0.0
Third
3357
#19
21.74.6
14.419.0
Auto0.2
Teleop21.5
End0.0
red by 6.9
5704
#21
14.81.7
12.814.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.8
End0.0