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Red4
47767.8
83017.3
353614.8
Blue23
3025.2
506710.6
52567.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3112020406080100120423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
830
#24
17.32.0
12.510.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.6
End0.0
red by 6.7
5067
#30
10.60.6
6.77.3
Auto0.9
Teleop9.6
End0.0
Second
3536
#31
14.82.0
9.67.6
Auto0.9
Teleop14.0
End0.0
red by 7.0
5256
#39
7.80.6
3.33.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.0
End0.0
Third
4776
#38
7.82.0
7.35.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.0
End0.0
red by 2.5
302
#40
5.20.6
5.96.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop5.5
End0.0