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Red107
553013.8
571021.7
118930.4
Blue86
29711.8
400330.1
432526.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4450020608010012014016010786

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.44.3
21.726.1
Auto1.6
Teleop28.8
End0.0
red by 0.3
30.12.5
22.424.9
Auto7.4
Teleop22.6
End0.0
Second
21.74.3
20.124.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.8
End0.0
blue by 4.5
26.22.5
18.921.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.3
End0.0
Third
5530
#18
13.84.3
5.19.5
Auto0.5
Teleop13.3
End0.0
red by 2.0
297
#28
11.82.5
9.612.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop12.3
End0.0