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Red60
52567.8
191825.6
36559.5
Blue50
438437.2
24526.0
55616.5
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26690501001506050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1918
#16
25.61.7
22.824.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop25.8
End0.0
blue by 11.6
37.21.0
31.730.7
Auto1.1
Teleop36.1
End0.0
Second
3655
#33
9.51.7
7.59.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop9.7
End0.0
blue by 16.5
245
#15
26.01.0
26.025.0
Auto0.9
Teleop25.0
End0.0
Third
5256
#39
7.81.7
3.55.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.0
End0.0
red by 1.4
5561
#34
6.51.0
7.16.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop6.8
End0.0