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Red80
49426.9
150419.1
52347.8
Blue70
432526.2
365818.5
6623.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions475602040801001201401608070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#10
26.92.0
26.228.1
Auto0.1
Teleop26.8
End0.0
red by 0.7
26.20.9
21.422.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.3
End0.0
Second
1504
#22
19.12.0
17.019.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.4
End0.0
blue by 4.0
66
#11
23.10.8
21.222.0
Auto0.4
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Third
5234
#37
7.81.8
7.49.2
Auto0.8
Teleop7.0
End0.0
blue by 10.6
3658
#17
18.50.9
14.615.4
Auto0.5
Teleop17.9
End0.0