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Red70
553013.8
432713.1
14112.5
Blue68
189617.8
366820.9
24526.0
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2758040801001201401607068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5530
#18
13.82.3
9.912.1
Auto0.5
Teleop13.3
End0.0
blue by 12.2
245
#15
26.00.8
25.025.7
Auto0.9
Teleop25.0
End0.0
Second
4327
#27
13.12.3
11.413.7
Auto0.6
Teleop12.5
End0.0
blue by 7.8
3668
#12
20.90.8
16.717.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.9
End0.0
Third
141
#32
12.52.3
11.914.1
Auto0.2
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 5.4
1896
#14
17.80.8
14.014.7
Auto0.2
Teleop17.7
End0.0