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Red56
85728.7
276735.2
57459.0
Blue61
323425.5
547022.0
258615.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions745801001505661

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.20.3
35.535.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop35.4
End0.0
red by 9.8
3234
#10
25.50.0
25.525.5
Auto0.2
Teleop25.3
End0.0
Second
857
#6
28.70.3
29.028.7
Auto0.5
Teleop28.2
End0.0
red by 6.7
22.00.0
22.022.0
Auto0.2
Teleop21.8
End0.0
Third
5745
#24
9.00.3
9.39.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.2
End0.0
blue by 6.2
2586
#16
15.20.0
15.315.2
Auto0.6
Teleop14.6
End0.0