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Red123
295931.6
438124.9
571024.9
Blue64
207525.6
567423.8
495615.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions746005010015012364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2959
#12
31.60.8
29.330.1
Auto0.0
Teleop31.5
End0.0
red by 5.9
25.60.0
25.625.6
Auto1.3
Teleop24.3
End0.0
Second
4381
#11
24.90.8
22.623.4
Auto0.2
Teleop24.7
End0.0
red by 1.1
23.80.0
23.823.8
Auto0.0
Teleop23.8
End0.0
Third
5710
#22
24.90.8
22.623.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop25.1
End0.0
red by 9.7
4956
#17
15.20.0
15.215.2
Auto0.7
Teleop14.5
End0.0