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Red62
207525.6
567423.8
495615.2
Blue97
295931.6
438124.9
571024.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64670501001502002503006297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.60.1
26.226.2
Auto1.3
Teleop24.3
End0.0
blue by 5.9
2959
#12
31.60.5
27.427.8
Auto0.0
Teleop31.5
End0.0
Second
23.80.1
24.524.4
Auto0.0
Teleop23.8
End0.0
blue by 1.1
4381
#11
24.90.5
20.721.2
Auto0.2
Teleop24.7
End0.0
Third
4956
#17
15.20.1
15.815.7
Auto0.7
Teleop14.5
End0.0
blue by 9.7
5710
#22
24.90.5
20.721.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop25.1
End0.0