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Red116
8539.4
496737.8
24415.8
Blue50
207525.6
567423.8
495615.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9458015020011650

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#3
39.40.4
38.839.2
Auto0.8
Teleop38.6
End0.0
red by 13.8
25.60.3
25.925.6
Auto1.3
Teleop24.3
End0.0
Second
37.80.4
37.337.7
Auto1.6
Teleop36.2
End0.0
red by 14.0
23.80.3
24.123.8
Auto0.0
Teleop23.8
End0.0
Third
244
#32
15.80.4
15.315.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop16.2
End0.0
red by 0.7
4956
#17
15.20.3
15.415.2
Auto0.7
Teleop14.5
End0.0