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Red12
48558.1
55747.7
295931.6
Blue9
51619.3
547022.0
258615.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50240406080100120140129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2959
#12
31.62.5
23.621.1
Auto0.0
Teleop31.5
End0.0
red by 9.5
22.01.7
8.87.1
Auto0.2
Teleop21.8
End0.0
Second
4855
#33
8.12.5
15.613.1
Auto0.1
Teleop8.0
End0.0
blue by 7.1
2586
#16
15.21.7
10.48.7
Auto0.6
Teleop14.6
End0.0
Third
5574
#36
7.72.5
8.86.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop7.9
End0.0
blue by 1.7
5161
#30
9.31.7
9.98.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.4
End0.0