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Red41
52466.2
276735.2
521313.5
Blue13
240511.3
52488.9
345813.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443202060801001201404113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.20.3
25.625.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop35.4
End0.0
red by 21.9
3458
#25
13.31.9
13.511.6
Auto1.4
Teleop11.9
End0.0
Second
5213
#19
13.50.3
12.011.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.7
End0.0
red by 2.2
2405
#26
11.31.9
6.44.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.6
End0.0
Third
5246
#37
6.20.3
6.56.3
Auto0.2
Teleop6.0
End0.0
blue by 2.7
5248
#39
8.91.9
15.413.6
Auto0.1
Teleop8.8
End0.0