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Red38
567423.8
8539.4
24415.8
Blue26
21610.7
57459.0
205437.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484710203040607080903826

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#3
39.40.5
21.220.7
Auto0.8
Teleop38.6
End0.0
red by 2.3
37.11.9
29.227.3
Auto7.0
Teleop30.1
End0.0
Second
23.80.5
10.710.2
Auto0.0
Teleop23.8
End0.0
red by 13.1
216
#38
10.71.9
12.410.5
Auto0.5
Teleop10.2
End0.0
Third
244
#32
15.80.5
17.717.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop16.2
End0.0
red by 6.8
5745
#24
9.01.9
7.05.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.2
End0.0