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Red15
51619.3
205437.1
48558.1
Blue28
495615.2
52555.0
21610.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions512304060801001201401528

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.12.3
27.325.0
Auto7.0
Teleop30.1
End0.0
red by 21.9
4956
#17
15.20.0
13.313.2
Auto0.7
Teleop14.5
End0.0
Second
5161
#30
9.32.3
8.25.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.4
End0.0
blue by 1.4
216
#38
10.70.0
10.510.5
Auto0.5
Teleop10.2
End0.0
Third
4855
#33
8.12.3
13.110.8
Auto0.1
Teleop8.0
End0.0
red by 3.1
5255
#40
5.00.0
4.64.5
Auto0.0
Teleop5.0
End0.0