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Red110
8539.4
547313.4
258615.2
Blue78
85728.7
276735.2
240511.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3348010015011078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#3
39.46.1
20.726.8
Auto0.8
Teleop38.6
End0.0
red by 4.2
35.22.5
25.327.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop35.4
End0.0
Second
2586
#16
15.26.1
8.714.8
Auto0.6
Teleop14.6
End0.0
blue by 13.4
857
#6
28.72.5
17.820.3
Auto0.5
Teleop28.2
End0.0
Third
5473
#15
13.46.1
7.013.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.5
End0.0
red by 2.1
2405
#26
11.32.5
4.57.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.6
End0.0