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Red28
85728.7
547313.4
52488.9
Blue0
50569.7
21610.7
55747.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6815050100150200280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
857
#6
28.72.2
29.427.2
Auto0.5
Teleop28.2
End0.0
red by 18.0
216
#38
10.70.9
6.65.7
Auto0.5
Teleop10.2
End0.0
Second
5473
#15
13.42.2
19.217.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.5
End0.0
red by 3.7
5056
#34
9.70.9
10.69.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.8
End0.0
Third
5248
#39
8.92.2
13.811.6
Auto0.1
Teleop8.8
End0.0
red by 1.3
5574
#36
7.70.9
6.45.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop7.9
End0.0