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Red25
495615.2
48558.1
57459.0
Blue53
571024.9
566415.3
56227.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34331020304050602553

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4956
#17
15.20.8
16.115.3
Auto0.7
Teleop14.5
End0.0
blue by 9.7
5710
#22
24.91.2
15.716.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop25.1
End0.0
Second
5745
#24
9.00.8
8.37.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.2
End0.0
blue by 6.3
5664
#23
15.31.9
11.713.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop15.7
End0.0
Third
4855
#33
8.10.8
10.910.1
Auto0.1
Teleop8.0
End0.0
red by 0.3
5622
#35
7.81.9
7.49.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.9
End0.0