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Red109
438124.9
276735.2
258615.2
Blue98
387517.1
496737.8
547022.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5764010015020010998

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.23.5
35.539.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop35.4
End0.0
blue by 2.6
37.82.3
29.131.4
Auto1.6
Teleop36.2
End0.0
Second
4381
#11
24.93.8
14.618.4
Auto0.2
Teleop24.7
End0.0
red by 2.9
22.02.3
18.320.6
Auto0.2
Teleop21.8
End0.0
Third
2586
#16
15.23.5
10.013.5
Auto0.6
Teleop14.6
End0.0
blue by 1.8
3875
#14
17.12.5
18.120.6
Auto0.1
Teleop17.0
End0.0