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Red41
43379.4
21610.7
276735.2
Blue34
547313.4
521313.5
495615.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59370501001504134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.21.0
38.437.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop35.4
End0.0
red by 20.0
4956
#17
15.20.5
14.614.2
Auto0.7
Teleop14.5
End0.0
Second
216
#38
10.71.0
8.97.9
Auto0.5
Teleop10.2
End0.0
blue by 2.9
5213
#19
13.50.5
13.312.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.7
End0.0
Third
4337
#31
9.41.0
10.79.6
Auto0.2
Teleop9.2
End0.0
blue by 4.0
5473
#15
13.40.5
13.813.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.5
End0.0