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Red67
52488.9
571024.9
51619.3
Blue103
323425.5
52466.2
8539.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306205010015067103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5710
#22
24.91.6
19.821.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop25.1
End0.0
blue by 14.5
85
#3
39.42.7
34.537.2
Auto0.8
Teleop38.6
End0.0
Second
5161
#30
9.31.9
8.410.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.4
End0.0
blue by 16.1
3234
#10
25.52.7
20.122.8
Auto0.2
Teleop25.3
End0.0
Third
5248
#39
8.91.9
7.79.6
Auto0.1
Teleop8.8
End0.0
red by 2.7
5246
#37
6.22.7
4.26.9
Auto0.2
Teleop6.0
End0.0