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Red76
495615.2
376715.9
295931.6
Blue108
21610.7
323425.5
85728.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5355010015076108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2959
#12
31.61.2
26.427.5
Auto0.0
Teleop31.5
End0.0
red by 2.9
857
#6
28.72.8
26.329.2
Auto0.5
Teleop28.2
End0.0
Second
3767
#18
15.91.2
14.515.7
Auto0.0
Teleop15.9
End0.0
blue by 9.6
3234
#10
25.52.8
22.825.7
Auto0.2
Teleop25.3
End0.0
Third
4956
#17
15.21.2
14.215.3
Auto0.7
Teleop14.5
End0.0
red by 4.5
216
#38
10.72.8
7.910.7
Auto0.5
Teleop10.2
End0.0