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Red83
496737.8
506919.6
258615.2
Blue51
207525.6
521313.5
24415.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions714701001502008351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.80.7
36.637.4
Auto1.6
Teleop36.2
End0.0
red by 12.2
25.60.6
25.225.8
Auto1.3
Teleop24.3
End0.0
Second
5069
#13
19.60.7
18.719.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.8
End0.0
red by 3.8
244
#32
15.80.6
14.815.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop16.2
End0.0
Third
2586
#16
15.20.7
14.715.4
Auto0.6
Teleop14.6
End0.0
red by 1.7
5213
#19
13.50.6
12.813.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.7
End0.0