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Red36
260415.9
132220.6
508410.0
Blue112
150617.5
499419.0
523810.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4540020608010012036112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.60.2
20.320.2
Auto3.6
Teleop17.0
End0.0
red by 1.6
19.01.2
17.418.5
Auto0.3
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Second
15.90.2
15.615.5
Auto1.3
Teleop14.6
End0.0
blue by 1.6
1506
#16
17.51.2
15.817.0
Auto0.5
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Third
5084
#29
10.00.2
9.89.6
Auto1.0
Teleop9.0
End0.0
blue by 0.7
5238
#26
10.71.2
9.010.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.8
End0.0