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Red36
52269.6
499813.0
528216.9
Blue34
56418.1
520114.5
553328.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384501001503634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5282
#10
16.90.2
17.116.9
Auto2.6
Teleop14.3
End0.0
blue by 11.3
28.20.6
26.225.6
Auto0.8
Teleop27.4
End0.0
Second
4998
#19
13.00.2
13.213.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.3
End0.0
blue by 1.5
5201
#21
14.50.6
12.511.9
Auto1.1
Teleop13.5
End0.0
Third
5226
#23
9.60.2
9.89.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.7
End0.0
red by 1.5
5641
#34
8.10.6
6.45.8
Auto-0.6
Teleop8.6
End0.0