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Red41
233743.7
353416.3
501712.0
Blue9
57746.6
4682.2
521511.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52240406080100120140419

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.70.7
23.522.8
Auto8.2
Teleop35.5
End0.0
red by 32.5
5215
#25
11.21.7
9.78.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.4
End0.0
Second
3534
#15
16.30.7
16.716.0
Auto0.9
Teleop15.3
End0.0
red by 9.7
5774
#32
6.61.7
8.87.1
Auto0.3
Teleop6.3
End0.0
Third
5017
#22
12.00.7
9.38.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.3
End0.0
red by 9.8
468
#39
2.21.7
10.48.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.3
End0.0