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Red25
552421.6
578414.1
171120.9
Blue15
515517.5
54877.3
3222.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4225060801001201402515

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.60.8
17.316.5
Auto0.1
Teleop21.5
End0.0
red by 4.1
5155
#11
17.51.1
13.612.5
Auto0.3
Teleop17.2
End0.0
Second
1711
#18
20.91.3
15.714.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.2
End0.0
red by 13.5
5487
#33
7.31.1
6.65.5
Auto0.6
Teleop6.7
End0.0
Third
5784
#20
14.11.3
8.06.6
Auto0.6
Teleop13.5
End0.0
red by 11.5
322
#40
2.61.1
8.06.9
Auto-0.6
Teleop3.3
End0.0