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Red21
150617.5
546015.9
499813.0
Blue6
56949.0
57132.1
168411.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2632050100150216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1506
#16
17.50.6
9.99.3
Auto0.5
Teleop17.0
End0.0
red by 6.0
1684
#35
11.42.2
18.015.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.9
End0.0
Second
5460
#13
15.90.6
7.16.5
Auto0.6
Teleop15.3
End0.0
red by 6.9
5694
#28
9.02.2
7.14.9
Auto1.2
Teleop7.8
End0.0
Third
4998
#19
13.00.6
10.810.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.3
End0.0
red by 10.9
5713
#41
2.12.2
7.45.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.2
End0.0