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Red2
56949.0
501712.0
523810.7
Blue16
353416.3
132220.6
508410.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions164706080100120140160216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5017
#22
12.01.6
8.57.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 8.6
20.62.3
19.517.2
Auto3.6
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Second
5238
#26
10.71.6
7.66.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.8
End0.0
blue by 5.6
3534
#15
16.32.3
16.013.7
Auto0.9
Teleop15.3
End0.0
Third
5694
#28
9.01.6
4.93.3
Auto1.2
Teleop7.8
End0.0
blue by 1.0
5084
#29
10.02.3
8.35.9
Auto1.0
Teleop9.0
End0.0