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Red10
171120.9
55272.8
56607.5
Blue48
499419.0
546015.9
353511.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314301001501048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1711
#18
20.92.0
17.315.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.2
End0.0
red by 1.8
19.00.9
14.815.7
Auto0.3
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Second
5660
#27
7.52.0
10.58.5
Auto-1.2
Teleop8.8
End0.0
blue by 8.4
5460
#13
15.90.9
10.211.1
Auto0.6
Teleop15.3
End0.0
Third
5527
#38
2.82.0
6.34.3
Auto1.0
Teleop1.8
End0.0
blue by 8.6
3535
#31
11.50.9
17.918.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop11.9
End0.0