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Red17
52356.6
132220.6
515517.5
Blue60
150617.5
553328.2
523810.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34300204060801001201760

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.61.5
17.215.7
Auto3.6
Teleop17.0
End0.0
blue by 7.6
28.22.3
17.519.8
Auto0.8
Teleop27.4
End0.0
Second
5155
#11
17.51.5
12.010.5
Auto0.3
Teleop17.2
End0.0
Level
1506
#16
17.52.3
8.510.8
Auto0.5
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Third
5235
#37
6.61.5
5.74.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.8
End0.0
blue by 4.1
5238
#26
10.72.3
6.08.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.8
End0.0