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Red25
55272.8
499419.0
168411.4
Blue18
528216.9
56125.1
171120.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363102060801002518

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.00.5
15.715.3
Auto0.3
Teleop18.7
End0.0
blue by 1.8
1711
#18
20.91.3
15.314.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Second
1684
#35
11.40.5
16.416.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 5.5
5282
#10
16.91.3
10.69.3
Auto2.6
Teleop14.3
End0.0
Third
5527
#38
2.80.5
4.33.8
Auto1.0
Teleop1.8
End0.0
blue by 2.3
5612
#36
5.11.3
7.46.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop5.1
End0.0