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Red63
501712.0
51509.3
499419.0
Blue83
553328.2
52356.6
552421.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265104060801001201401606383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.02.7
14.517.2
Auto0.3
Teleop18.7
End0.0
blue by 9.2
28.22.8
23.125.9
Auto0.8
Teleop27.4
End0.0
Second
5017
#22
12.02.7
9.512.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 9.7
21.61.7
20.322.0
Auto0.1
Teleop21.5
End0.0
Third
5150
#30
9.32.7
6.79.4
Auto0.1
Teleop9.2
End0.0
red by 2.8
5235
#37
6.62.8
5.88.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.8
End0.0