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Red12
171120.9
353511.5
57746.6
Blue9
353416.3
57132.1
578414.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36320206080100120140129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1711
#18
20.91.0
11.210.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.2
End0.0
red by 4.6
3534
#15
16.32.0
16.014.0
Auto0.9
Teleop15.3
End0.0
Second
3535
#31
11.51.0
15.614.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 2.7
5784
#20
14.12.0
11.29.1
Auto0.6
Teleop13.5
End0.0
Third
5774
#32
6.61.0
9.58.5
Auto0.3
Teleop6.3
End0.0
red by 4.5
5713
#41
2.12.0
6.44.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.2
End0.0