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Red14
525115.2
52269.6
508410.0
Blue48
132220.6
4682.2
546015.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282701020405060701448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.21.2
12.511.3
Auto0.5
Teleop14.7
End0.0
blue by 5.4
20.61.6
12.914.5
Auto3.6
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Second
5084
#29
10.01.2
7.56.3
Auto1.0
Teleop9.0
End0.0
blue by 5.9
5460
#13
15.91.6
12.414.0
Auto0.6
Teleop15.3
End0.0
Third
5226
#23
9.61.2
8.37.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.7
End0.0
red by 7.4
468
#39
2.21.6
3.45.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.3
End0.0