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Red15
520114.5
56949.0
3222.6
Blue22
523810.7
260415.9
168411.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2539060801001201522

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5201
#21
14.51.1
14.012.9
Auto1.1
Teleop13.5
End0.0
blue by 1.4
15.91.4
13.011.6
Auto1.3
Teleop14.6
End0.0
Second
5694
#28
9.01.1
6.75.6
Auto1.2
Teleop7.8
End0.0
blue by 2.4
1684
#35
11.41.3
14.012.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.9
End0.0
Third
322
#40
2.61.1
7.26.1
Auto-0.6
Teleop3.3
End0.0
blue by 8.1
5238
#26
10.71.4
11.310.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.8
End0.0