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Red70
353416.3
7030.2
528216.9
Blue5
52356.6
501712.0
55272.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52230406080100120705

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#4
30.21.6
22.824.4
Auto5.8
Teleop24.4
End0.0
red by 18.2
5017
#22
12.01.8
12.210.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.3
End0.0
Second
5282
#10
16.91.6
12.614.2
Auto2.6
Teleop14.3
End0.0
red by 10.4
5235
#37
6.61.8
8.76.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.8
End0.0
Third
3534
#15
16.31.6
14.015.6
Auto0.9
Teleop15.3
End0.0
red by 13.4
5527
#38
2.81.8
7.45.6
Auto1.0
Teleop1.8
End0.0