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Red20
56125.1
515517.5
56607.5
Blue20
4682.2
52356.6
168411.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284301001502020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5155
#11
17.51.0
14.613.6
Auto0.3
Teleop17.2
End0.0
red by 6.1
1684
#35
11.41.8
19.818.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.9
End0.0
Second
5660
#27
7.511.7
19.27.6
Auto-1.2
Teleop8.8
End0.0
red by 1.0
5235
#37
6.61.8
9.98.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.8
End0.0
Third
5612
#36
5.18.2
15.87.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop5.1
End0.0
red by 3.0
468
#39
2.21.8
12.310.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.3
End0.0