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Red32
124314.1
51509.3
552421.6
Blue12
52269.6
171120.9
52347.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413002060801001203212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.60.4
17.717.3
Auto0.1
Teleop21.5
End0.0
red by 0.8
1711
#18
20.91.7
17.415.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Second
1243
#14
14.10.4
10.39.8
Auto0.7
Teleop13.4
End0.0
red by 4.5
5226
#23
9.61.7
7.15.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.7
End0.0
Third
5150
#30
9.30.7
12.311.6
Auto0.1
Teleop9.2
End0.0
red by 1.9
5234
#24
7.41.0
7.86.8
Auto0.2
Teleop7.2
End0.0