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Red25
546015.9
353416.3
525115.2
Blue77
150617.5
515517.5
520114.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433102060801002577

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3534
#15
16.31.2
15.214.0
Auto0.9
Teleop15.3
End0.0
blue by 1.3
5155
#11
17.52.8
8.711.5
Auto0.3
Teleop17.2
End0.0
Second
5460
#13
15.91.2
14.012.8
Auto0.6
Teleop15.3
End0.0
blue by 1.5
1506
#16
17.52.8
14.317.2
Auto0.5
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Third
15.21.2
13.412.3
Auto0.5
Teleop14.7
End0.0
red by 0.7
5201
#21
14.52.8
11.314.1
Auto1.1
Teleop13.5
End0.0