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Red38
508410.0
56607.5
124314.1
Blue8
578414.1
55272.8
3222.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28170406080100388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1243
#14
14.10.5
11.011.5
Auto0.7
Teleop13.4
End0.0
Level
5784
#20
14.10.7
9.99.1
Auto0.6
Teleop13.5
End0.0
Second
5084
#29
10.00.7
9.410.1
Auto1.0
Teleop9.0
End0.0
red by 7.2
5527
#38
2.80.7
4.94.1
Auto1.0
Teleop1.8
End0.0
Third
5660
#27
7.50.7
7.17.8
Auto-1.2
Teleop8.8
End0.0
red by 4.9
322
#40
2.60.7
4.33.6
Auto-0.6
Teleop3.3
End0.0