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Red41
56418.1
150617.5
552421.6
Blue14
55272.8
52269.6
57746.6
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions481604060801001201404114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.60.2
21.120.9
Auto0.1
Teleop21.5
End0.0
red by 12.0
5226
#23
9.60.5
10.39.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.7
End0.0
Second
1506
#16
17.50.2
17.216.9
Auto0.5
Teleop17.0
End0.0
red by 10.9
5774
#32
6.60.5
7.46.9
Auto0.3
Teleop6.3
End0.0
Third
5641
#34
8.10.2
6.66.4
Auto-0.6
Teleop8.6
End0.0
red by 5.3
5527
#38
2.80.5
4.13.7
Auto1.0
Teleop1.8
End0.0