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Red4
501712.0
57132.1
520114.5
Blue12
54877.3
56125.1
551719.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2832020406080100120140160412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5201
#21
14.51.6
14.112.5
Auto1.1
Teleop13.5
End0.0
blue by 4.5
5517
#12
19.11.3
18.317.0
Auto1.9
Teleop17.2
End0.0
Second
5017
#22
12.01.6
11.710.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.3
End0.0
red by 4.6
5487
#33
7.31.3
9.38.0
Auto0.6
Teleop6.7
End0.0
Third
5713
#41
2.11.6
4.42.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.2
End0.0
blue by 3.0
5612
#36
5.11.3
5.44.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop5.1
End0.0