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Red46
477619.2
150232.2
366712.7
Blue50
566116.8
421625.8
552319.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63583040507080901004650

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.20.3
32.332.0
Auto0.2
Teleop32.0
End0.0
red by 6.4
25.80.3
25.726.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.0
End0.0
Second
19.20.3
19.218.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop19.7
End0.0
red by 0.2
5523
#15
19.00.3
18.919.2
Auto0.3
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Third
3667
#23
12.70.3
12.812.5
Auto0.2
Teleop12.5
End0.0
blue by 4.2
5661
#12
16.80.3
16.717.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.9
End0.0