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Red30
477619.2
528217.7
456813.3
Blue134
508413.4
31479.2
366712.7
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43103015020030134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.21.2
20.419.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop19.7
End0.0
blue by 60.0
314
#1
79.21.8
75.176.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop79.5
End0.0
Second
5282
#16
17.71.2
18.917.7
Auto1.3
Teleop16.4
End0.0
red by 4.3
5084
#26
13.41.8
11.012.9
Auto0.8
Teleop12.6
End0.0
Third
4568
#35
13.31.2
14.513.3
Auto1.3
Teleop12.0
End0.0
red by 0.6
3667
#23
12.71.8
10.912.8
Auto0.2
Teleop12.5
End0.0