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Red58
365513.0
440810.4
353632.2
Blue53
550218.1
3223.7
570413.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5627040801001201401605853

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.20.2
30.530.7
Auto0.9
Teleop31.3
End0.0
red by 14.2
5502
#33
18.11.0
17.018.1
Auto0.0
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Second
3655
#27
13.00.2
12.713.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.0
End0.0
blue by 0.7
5704
#39
13.61.0
12.613.6
Auto0.1
Teleop13.5
End0.0
Third
4408
#31
10.40.2
10.210.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.6
End0.0
red by 6.7
322
#40
3.71.0
2.73.7
Auto-0.7
Teleop4.4
End0.0