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Red69
354626.2
526031.9
523513.0
Blue101
70330.7
546029.6
353524.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions696430405060809010011069101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.90.0
31.731.7
Auto0.1
Teleop31.8
End0.0
red by 1.2
703
#11
30.70.6
24.825.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop30.9
End0.0
Second
3546
#14
26.20.0
26.026.0
Auto1.7
Teleop24.5
End0.0
blue by 3.4
29.60.6
23.724.3
Auto0.1
Teleop29.5
End0.0
Third
5235
#24
13.00.0
12.912.8
Auto0.0
Teleop13.0
End0.0
blue by 11.7
3535
#17
24.70.6
18.919.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.8
End0.0