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Red154
6848.7
31479.2
16849.7
Blue126
70330.7
546029.6
353524.7
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142530100200250154126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
#1
79.20.3
77.678.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop79.5
End0.0
red by 48.5
703
#11
30.70.9
25.326.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop30.9
End0.0
Second
68
#2
48.70.3
47.247.6
Auto0.3
Teleop48.5
End0.0
red by 19.1
29.60.9
24.325.2
Auto0.1
Teleop29.5
End0.0
Third
1684
#34
9.70.3
8.28.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.0
End0.0
blue by 15.0
3535
#17
24.70.9
19.420.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.8
End0.0