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Red32
365513.0
525118.6
366712.7
Blue40
70330.7
544711.8
555922.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374701002003004003240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5251
#20
18.60.4
13.513.1
Auto0.1
Teleop18.5
End0.0
blue by 12.1
703
#11
30.70.1
17.617.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop30.9
End0.0
Second
3655
#27
13.00.4
14.514.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.0
End0.0
blue by 9.5
5559
#25
22.50.1
21.621.6
Auto0.3
Teleop22.2
End0.0
Third
3667
#23
12.70.4
12.111.7
Auto0.2
Teleop12.5
End0.0
red by 0.8
5447
#37
11.80.1
8.18.0
Auto0.0
Teleop11.8
End0.0